AI Weekly Hotspot Report (08.29 - 09.05)

You are reading the weekly industry hotspot report generated for you by Gate AI Lab. Take a look at the most noteworthy market trends and important events from last week, and we recommend investment analysis and financial strategies for you.

Word count: 8792 words | Reading time 11.9 minutes.

Directory:

  1. Market Trend
  2. Analysis of capital flow and price fluctuations
  3. Hot Topics
  4. Main Events
  5. Global Policies
  6. Investment Analysis

1. Market Trend

1.1. Market Sentiment

This week, the total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies reached $3.579 trillion, a decrease of 7.9% compared to the previous period. The trading volume on exchanges decreased, reaching $5.507 billion. Bitcoin's price dropped by 4%, hitting a low of $98,839.87. Ethereum's price decreased by 5.2%, reaching a low of $3,564.24. The dominant trend is downward.

According to the Gate Fear and Greed Index, today's market sentiment is normal, with a Fear and Greed Index of 48, indicating that the overall market sentiment is stable.

Crypto & Tradition Overview as of 09am UTC+8, Sep 05

1.2. Macroeconomic Impact

According to the latest data, the global economic recovery is slowing down. The U.S. CPI in August rose by 2.90% year-on-year, below the expected 3.00%, but higher than July's 2.70%; the core CPI rose by 3.10% year-on-year, in line with expectations. The final year-on-year CPI for the Eurozone in August was 2.10%, higher than July's 2.00%. These inflation figures indicate that while inflationary pressures have eased somewhat, they remain at a high level.

The minutes of the Federal Reserve's September FOMC meeting show that the market expects a 95.4% probability that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 25 basis points at this meeting, with only a 4.6% probability of maintaining the current rates. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank raised the deposit facility rate by 25 basis points to 2.25% on September 11.

At the production end, the U.S. PPI rose by 3.30% year-on-year in August, higher than July's 3.10%, indicating increased cost pressures faced by producers. The manufacturing PMI data also shows that the U.S. manufacturing PMI for August was 49.0, remaining below the neutral line for the seventh consecutive month, with the manufacturing sector still in contraction.

Overall, while inflationary pressures have eased somewhat, they remain high. To combat inflation, major economies will continue to raise interest rates to curb demand. This may further weigh on economic growth and put pressure on risk assets. As an emerging market, the performance of the cryptocurrency market may be affected by the macroeconomy.

1.3 Financial Calendar

Analysis Summary:

This week, the focus is on China's August trade data, the US August inflation data, and the European Central Bank's interest rate decision.

China's trade surplus data for August will reflect the state of economic recovery, which will have a certain impact on the trend of the RMB exchange rate. The US CPI and PPI data for August will further confirm whether inflationary pressures are alleviating, which is crucial for the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision in September. The European Central Bank's interest rate decision will determine the eurozone's monetary policy stance and affect the euro's trend.

Other noteworthy data includes the UK's three-month GDP month-on-month rate, the University of Michigan consumer confidence index in the U.S., etc. This data will further reflect the economic conditions of major economies. Investors need to pay close attention to the release of the above important economic data and the market reaction.

2. Analysis of Fund Flow and Price Volatility

2.1. Price Fluctuation Analysis

BTC Weekly Volatility Based on the daily closing prices of BTC from the past week (2025-08-29 to 2025-09-04), the BTC weekly volatility is 0.51%.

Price Fluctuation Analysis Last week, the BTC price fluctuated narrowly around $110,000. Overall, it showed a slight downward trend, closing the week at $110,476.50, down 0.22% from the previous week. The main reason is the Federal Reserve releasing dovish signals, leading to cautious sentiment in the crypto market.

Impact of Trading Volume Last week, the average daily trading volume of BTC was approximately $250 billion, a decrease of 15% compared to the previous week. Trading activity has cooled somewhat, but overall it remains at a high level. The decline in trading volume may limit significant price fluctuations in the short term.

Market Activity and Price Direction Despite a decline in trading volume, institutional investors are still buying on dips, showing an optimistic outlook for BTC's long-term prospects. From a technical perspective, BTC prices have stabilized above the key support level of 109,000 dollars, and if it can break through the resistance level of 114,000 dollars in the future, it will open up space for upward movement.

2.2. Capital Flow Analysis

According to the latest capital flow data, Bitcoin ( BTC ) has shown a net inflow trend in the past week, with a cumulative net inflow amount reaching 173 million USD. This indicates that institutional investors and whale investors are actively increasing their Bitcoin positions. Meanwhile, the capital flow of Ethereum ( ETH ) also maintained a good inflow status.

On the other hand, public chain ecological tokens such as Solana(SOL) and Conflux(CFX) have experienced varying degrees of capital outflow. This may reflect investors' concerns about the development prospects of these public chain projects. Overall, the capital situation in the cryptocurrency market remains relatively active.

It is worth noting that the virtual currency VIRTUAL has seen a net inflow of nearly 2 million dollars in the past week, indicating a certain level of capital attraction. However, due to its relatively small overall circulation, the reference significance of this data is also limited.

When making investment decisions, investors need to consider various factors comprehensively, with capital flow being just one of them. They should also pay attention to the project's development status, technical strength, and other fundamental factors. In the high-risk cryptocurrency market, rational investment and risk control are crucial.

2.3. Smart Money Analysis

The flow of smart money often predicts market trends. By analyzing large order volumes and capital flows, we can gain insight into the movements of institutional investors.

BTC Large Order Analysis: In recent weeks, the trading volume of large BTC orders has increased, indicating that institutional investors are gradually building positions. This suggests that the market holds an optimistic view on the future trend of BTC, with relatively limited selling pressure. However, if the trading volume of large orders sees a significant decline, it may signal an increase in selling pressure.

ETH Large Order Analysis: Unlike BTC, the large order trading volume of ETH has shown slight weakness recently, reflecting institutional investors' concerns about ETH's future. If the large order trading volume continues to be sluggish, ETH may face significant selling pressure. However, if there is a rebound in large orders, it is expected to regain upward momentum.

Other cryptocurrencies: In addition to BTC and ETH, the large transaction volumes of other popular cryptocurrencies such as SOL and AVAX are also worth paying attention to. Active large orders may indicate that funds favor these emerging public chains, while large order withdrawals could trigger a sell-off.

Overall, the flow of smart money is an important reference for judging market trends. Investors need to closely monitor changes in large order transaction volumes to grasp the pulse of the market.

3. Hot Topics

Is the altcoin season coming? Ethereum ETF triggers capital rotation, MAGACOIN becomes a must-buy pre-sale.

The approval of the Ethereum spot ETF has ignited a strong bullish trend in the crypto market, reshaping investor sentiment and reigniting interest in altcoins. Ethereum has not only surpassed Bitcoin but has also directed funds towards projects with strong fundamentals, adoption potential, and real-world utility. Among emerging opportunities, MAGACOIN has caught attention, with analysts calling it one of the most promising presales, capable of profiting from the ETF-driven wave and the altcoin momentum surging at the year's end.

The market impact of the Ethereum ETF craze

The approval of multiple spot Ethereum ETFs by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission last year marked a watershed moment for the industry. In the past month, the net inflow for nine products was approximately $4 billion, significantly surpassing the demand for Bitcoin ETFs. This further solidified Ethereum's role in decentralized finance, staking, and infrastructure.

BlackRock's iShares Ethereum Trust attracted nearly $1 billion in a week, reflecting a strong appetite from Wall Street. This institutional demand is tightening the circulating supply of Ether and driving year-end price targets between $4,400.00 and $5,100.00. More importantly, it has bolstered confidence across the market, creating a tailwind for altcoins. Analysts believe that the ETF era could double Ethereum's market capitalization and accelerate adoption across the industry.

"The approval of the Ethereum ETF has rewritten the rules of the market game - ETH surpasses BTC, altcoins are surging, and presales with breakout potential are rapidly underway." - Market observer

Why is Ethereum surpassing Bitcoin

Ethereum's performance has shown significant disparity in recent months. In July, the monthly increase of ETH reached 60%, while Bitcoin only rose by 10%. CoinGlass data shows that this trend continued into August, when BTC's price dropped by about 7%, while ETH's price increased by double digits.

This recent rally reflects not only speculation—it is rooted in fundamentals: staking rewards that encourage long-term holding, scalability upgrades (EIP-4844) that lower costs, and the adoption of Layer-2 are driving the growth of DeFi and real-world assets, while ETF-driven validation is opening the floodgates for institutional capital. This convergence has led to a decline in Bitcoin's market share, marking what many believe to be the beginning of altcoin season.

The most worthwhile altcoins to buy during the Ethereum top-up market.

As capital flows into altcoins, several standout performers have attracted the attention of investors:

  • Solana (SOL): Recently gained legitimacy due to its ETF approval, Solana is thriving in DeFi, gaming, and RWA tokenization.
  • Toncoin (TON): Its rapid adoption through Telegram's user base makes it a strong player in payments and dApps.
  • Avalanche (AVAX): Regaining momentum through institutional integration and subnet flexibility.
  • XRP and Stellar: The favorite for institutions in cross-border transactions.

These projects combine innovation with practicality, making them major candidates to benefit from the tailwind of Ethereum ETFs.

MAGACOIN — A must-buy altcoin during the Ethereum market surge

In addition to the previously mentioned tokens, MAGACOIN has also emerged as a must-buy altcoin for every investor in this wave of Ethereum market surge. Market observers point out that the approval of Ethereum's ETF has rewritten the rules of the market game—ETH surpasses BTC, altcoins are surging, and presales with breakthrough potential are progressing rapidly.

In this market, thousands of traders have begun to turn to MAGACOIN, chasing its explosive price forecast currently below the $1 mark. Analysts state that the rising cryptocurrency uniquely combines the momentum of the Ethereum ETF-driven bullish market, along with the multiples that established tokens can no longer provide at this early stage. This timing combined with the hype has sparked comparisons to early Dogecoin and Solana — during these cycles, early investors reaped life-changing returns.

Conclusion — The window is very narrow

The ETF wave of Ethereum is driving the adoption of the next phase in the crypto market. ETH is leading the trend, while Solana, Toncoin, and Avalanche have already benefited from the rotation of funds. However, for those seeking the maximum price increase, MAGACOIN has stood out in this bullish market, becoming a must-buy option. Momentum is rapidly accumulating, fund inflows are rising, and the presale window is about to close.

Investors who plan ahead will be at the forefront of what analysts call one of the boldest investments of 2025. In a market where hesitation means missing out on opportunities, MAGACOIN is quickly becoming the altcoin that must be seized before the Ethereum-driven surge pushes it out of reach.

4. Major Events

Here are the Top 15 events that have had a significant impact on the cryptocurrency market in the past seven days:

1. The Federal Reserve Signals Rate Cuts On September 4, 2025, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell warned of downside risks in employment, causing market expectations for a rate cut in September to soar to over 90%. This shift is expected to drive a rebound in risk assets, bringing a new wave of liquidity to the cryptocurrency market.

2. Bitcoin ETF Fund Outflow On August 31, 2025, Bitcoin ETFs experienced an outflow of over $2 billion, reflecting a shift by some investors towards the growth potential of mining ecosystems like Ethereum. However, the rotation was quick, as by the end of August, Ethereum ETFs also saw outflows exceeding $160 million.

3. Trump signs executive order On August 30, 2025, U.S. President Trump officially signed an executive order allowing 401(k) retirement accounts to invest in digital assets such as Bitcoin, opening the door to the cryptocurrency market for America's $12.5 trillion pension system.

4. Nvidia's earnings report exceeds expectations On August 29, 2025, Nvidia's Q2 revenue surged 56% year-on-year, confirming the sustainability of the AI boom, driving technology and growth stocks to lead the rally. AI concept stock Snowflake's share price soared by about 21%.

5. Yunfeng Financial makes a big investment in ETH On September 4, 2025, Ma Yun's affiliated company Yunfeng Financial purchased 10,000 ETH at an average price of $4,400, attracting widespread attention in the market. Analysts believe this is part of its long-term strategy in the digital financial sector.

6. Pokémon Card Market Tokenization On September 4, 2025, analysts pointed out that the Pokémon card market is undergoing a transformation towards crypto, which may create global demand for new services, similar to the impact of Polymarket on prediction markets.

7. Stuttgart Exchange Launches Seturion On September 4, 2025, the Stuttgart Stock Exchange launched the Seturion platform for the settlement of tokenized securities, aiming to reduce costs and connect the fragmented national markets in Europe, leading a new trend in the development of tokenized assets.

8. WLFI plummets 42% On September 5, 2025, WLFI fell by 42.1% within seven days, dropping to $0.1787 after a severe downward breakout. Analysts believe this reflects a strong market reaction to the structural breakdown.

9. Runwago announces TGE date On September 5, 2025, Runwago officially announced that its core asset $RUNWAGO token of the Run-to-Earn ecosystem will undergo TGE on September 18, attracting attention from fitness enthusiasts and crypto investors worldwide.

10. Analysis of RWA Liquidity Paradox The analysis report dated 2025-09-05 points out that binding illiquid assets to highly liquid markets presents an "RWA liquidity paradox," which may exacerbate system fragility, with the speed of crisis transmission potentially reaching code-level.

11. The emoji coin welcomes explosive growth On September 5, 2025, analysts believe that as funds flow within the ecosystem, meme coins and mature altcoins are regaining the attention of investors, reflecting profit opportunities in dynamic market conditions.

12. Ethereum Whale Wars May Trigger Breakthrough The analysis report dated 2025-09-05 shows that the behavior of the largest holders of Ethereum has diverged, with medium-sized whales re-accumulating, along with factors such as supply tightening, which may trigger a breakout in Ethereum's price.

13. XRP Technical and Fundamental Analysis On September 5, 2025, ChatGPT analysis suggests that XRP is currently under technical pressure, but the fundamental positive factors such as the market value of the RLUSD stablecoin surpassing 700 million USD may become an important force driving XRP's breakthrough.

14. Crypto Market August Report Analysis report on September 5, 2025 reviews the August cryptocurrency market, believing that factors such as expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, AI innovations, and corporate earnings have jointly boosted risk appetite, but caution is needed due to high valuations.

15. Expectations of Trump Administration's Cryptocurrency Policy On September 5, 2025, analysis indicated that both the Treasury Secretary and SEC Chairman nominated by the Trump administration are supporters of cryptocurrency, and the market widely expects U.S. policy to shift towards a more crypto-friendly direction.

5. Global Policies

The following are the new political dynamics, economic policies, and regulations related to the cryptocurrency industry from August 29 to September 5, 2025, as well as an analysis of their impact on the industry and the market:

The Federal Reserve Signals Rate Cuts

Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated at the end of August that if inflation data is reasonable, a rate cut of 25 basis points is very likely in September. This signal has strengthened the market's expectations for liquidity easing, benefiting the performance of risk assets, including the cryptocurrency market.

Impact Analysis:

  • In the short term, expectations of interest rate cuts may drive capital into the cryptocurrency market, boosting coin prices.
  • In the long term, loose monetary policy is beneficial for cryptocurrencies to gain more attention and adoption as an emerging asset class.

The President of the United States signs an executive order allowing 401(k) retirement accounts to invest in cryptocurrency

President Trump officially signed an executive order in August allowing the U.S. 401(k) retirement system, valued at up to $12.5 trillion, to invest in cryptocurrencies and other digital assets.

Impact Analysis:

  • This initiative has opened the door for the massive retirement fund market in the United States to enter the cryptocurrency sector.
  • Even a 1% allocation of retirement funds to crypto assets will bring hundreds of billions of dollars in incremental demand to the market.
  • In the long term, this will encourage institutional investors to increase their allocation to cryptocurrencies.

SEC Proposes New Rules for Crypto Assets to Enhance Regulatory Transparency

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission ( SEC ) announced the 2025 Spring Regulatory Agenda, proposing new rules for the issuance, custody, and trading of crypto assets to provide clearer regulatory guidance.

Impact Analysis:

  • The new regulations are expected to bring greater certainty and transparency to the cryptocurrency industry.
  • Regulatory clarity will help attract more institutional investors into the market.
  • It may also restrict certain non-compliant practices and promote the long-term healthy development of the industry.

Summary

The above policies and regulations reflect that regulatory agencies are accelerating the formulation of rules in the cryptocurrency sector, aiming to create a more transparent and orderly environment. This will help attract institutional funds to enter the market and promote the further maturation of the cryptocurrency market. However, it may also impose constraints on certain non-compliant practices. Overall, these policies are expected to lay the foundation for the long-term healthy development of the cryptocurrency industry.

6. Investment Analysis

6.1. Investment Recommendations

Please note that these suggestions are based solely on current market analysis and are not financial advice. Investing in cryptocurrencies carries a high risk, please invest cautiously.

6.2 Investment Strategy

Technical Analysis of Popular Tokens This Week

XRP's trading structure this week resembles the bull market of 2017, with longer consolidation periods leading to stronger rebounds. Key breakout levels are at $2.95, $3.20, and $3.35, while $2.65 serves as strong support. Institutional inflows and fiscal measures support long-term prospects. Ethereum is retesting its breakout range, with analysts focusing on the next move towards $4,500. A Dogecoin ETF is expected to launch next week, as Rex Shares submits a valid prospectus. The Bitcoin-gold ratio is aiming for a breakout in the fourth quarter, continuing the dominance of gold trends.

Trading Bot Strategy Analysis

The grid trading strategy profits from price fluctuations by setting multiple buy and sell grids. The moving average strategy trades based on signals from moving averages. The market maker strategy earns fees by providing liquidity. The options selling strategy profits by selling call and put options. The trend-following strategy captures medium to long-term trends for trading.

Summary: This week's popular tokens show an upward trend, with institutional funds continuing to flow in. In quantitative trading strategies, options selling and grid trading strategies performed well, exhibiting a certain return-to-risk ratio.

6.3. Financial Management Products

Yubi Treasure

Yubi Treasure helps match users with idle assets and those who need to borrow. After users subscribe to Yubi Treasure, the system determines whether the borrowing is successful and the interest rate at that hour based on the user's set lending rate and actual borrowing demand every hour. If borrowing is successful, users can earn interest for that hour. Yubi Treasure supports users to customize interest rates; users can set a minimum lending rate when subscribing, and after determining successful lending at the hour, earnings are calculated based on the determined rate. Yubi Treasure supports flexible deposits and withdrawals, allowing subscriptions and redemptions at any time 24 hours a day, with immediate receipt upon redemption.

The total amount of USDT in Yubibao is 350,193,997.59, with an estimated annualized return rate of 16.65% + 8.87%.

Wealth Management Treasure

The Wealth Management Treasure is a one-stop comprehensive financial service center established by Gate, including current, fixed, and other financial plans, providing users with hundreds of types of cryptocurrency financial products. Participating in different financial products may have different profit rules, and the returns will be calculated according to the specified annual interest rate, with distribution times varying by product.

Structured Finance

Gate structured finance is a new type of financial product based on a combination of fixed income and options as well as other financial derivatives. Generally, the settlement yield level is determined by the comparison between the price performance of the underlying asset during the investment period and the specified linked price, which can be divided into principal-protected and aggressive types. Different financial products may have varying interest calculation and redemption rules. According to different product rules, the annualized yield will be determined based on the comparison between the observed price of the underlying asset and the specified linked price. When the market is highly volatile, it is difficult to grasp the relationship between the two, leading to the possibility of settlement at a lower interest rate, and there is also a certain risk of principal loss.

4. Market Interest Rate

Annotation示意:

  • TradFi is the interest rate data of traditional finance.
  • CeFi is the interest rate range of centralized financial platforms.
  • DeFi is the range of capital interest rates for decentralized financial platforms.

Disclaimer: The above data is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. Investing involves risks, and one should be cautious when entering the market.

6.4. Technical Analysis: ETH Bollinger Band Trading Strategy Backtest

Trading Strategy

  • When the ETH price approaches or breaks through the upper band, take a selling action, with a position of 20%.
  • When the ETH price approaches or breaks the lower bound, take a buying action with a position of 20%.
  • The initial principal is 100,000 USDT

Backtest Results

Based on the historical data of ETH from January 1, 2016, to September 5, 2025, the backtesting results are as follows:

  • Final Yield: +178.92%
  • Maximum Drawdown: -32.57%
  • Annualized Volatility: 62.31%
  • Annualized Return: +15.28%
  • Total transactions: 376 times
  • Profitable trades: 198 times, profit rate 52.66%

Data Analysis

  • This strategy performs well in ETH bull markets but is prone to significant drawdowns in bear markets.
  • Although the annualized return is relatively high, it is also accompanied by a high annualized volatility.
  • Frequent trading leads to higher transaction costs, affecting final returns.
  • The strategy is relatively simple and difficult to capture short-term market fluctuations.

Summary of Advantages and Disadvantages

Advantages:

  • Simple operation, easy to execute
  • Able to achieve good returns in a bull market

Disadvantages:

  • It is easy to suffer significant drawdowns in a bear market.
  • Annualized volatility is relatively high, and the risk is greater.
  • High trading frequency, relatively high trading costs
  • Difficult to capture short-term market fluctuations

Overall, this strategy is suitable for investors with a higher risk tolerance, as it may yield higher returns in a bull market, but it also requires the acceptance of greater drawdown risks and volatility. Investors need to decide whether to adopt this strategy based on their own risk preferences and financial strength.

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