Shiba Inu’s Price Rises, But Two Red Flags Threaten to End the Rally

Shiba Inu (SHIB) has recently enjoyed a favorable week, with its price climbing by over 7% and reaching a one-month high. While this rally has ignited optimism among its community, a new analysis reveals two major on-chain "red flags" that are signaling a significant threat to its sustainability. These warnings suggest that a sharp price reversal could be imminent if selling pressure continues to mount.

Red Flag #1: A Surge in Exchange Inflows

The first and most immediate threat to SHIB's rally is a dramatic increase in tokens being sent to exchanges. On-Chain Data: Data from blockchain analytics firm Glassnode shows that on September 11, SHIB's total exchange balances surged to a 30-day high of 156.47 trillion tokens.Implication: This metric is a key indicator of potential sell pressure. When a large volume of tokens is moved to exchanges, it suggests that holders are preparing to sell. This behavior indicates a lack of conviction from a large segment of the community, as investors seek to capitalize on recent price gains rather than hold for future growth.

Red Flag #2: Whales Distribute, Not Accumulate

The second red flag comes from the market’s largest investors, the whales. Their actions are often a leading indicator of where the market is headed. On-Chain Data: According to data from Nansen, wallet holdings with over $1 million in SHIB have decreased by 6% over the past seven days.Implication: A decline in whale holdings is a significant bearish signal. It shows that large investors are actively distributing their tokens, rather than accumulating them. This behavior suggests that smart money is exiting the market, which could erode confidence and leave smaller retail investors to bear the brunt of any subsequent price correction.

The Price Outlook: A Critical Test of Demand

The confluence of these two red flags puts SHIB’s rally on thin ice. The current upward momentum is at risk of being completely reversed by the mounting selling pressure. Downside Risk: If the influx of tokens to exchanges and whale distribution continues, the price could face a significant drop. The article points to a key support level at $0.00001187, which would be a critical test for SHIB to prevent a further decline.Upside Potential: To invalidate the bearish outlook, a return of strong buying demand would be needed to absorb the sell pressure and push the price back towards its monthly high of $0.00001408.

📌 Conclusion: A Rally Built on a Shaky Foundation

Shiba Inu's recent price gains, while positive on the surface, are built on a shaky foundation. The combination of rising exchange balances and decreasing whale holdings creates a perfect storm for a potential price reversal. Investors are advised to exercise extreme caution and closely monitor these on-chain metrics, as they may signal that the current rally is a deceptive short-term bounce rather than the start of a sustained bull run.

🔐 Disclaimer

This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry a high level of risk and volatility. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.